Week 9 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Win odds, public pick percentages, and spreads for every team playing in Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season, from the free Survivor Board grid.
The board makes Seattle Seahawks the strongest Week 9 survivor pick at 85.9% to win (at home against the Arizona Cardinals, -13.5). Kansas City Chiefs is next at 78.7%. The public's favorite is Kansas City Chiefs, carrying 22.2% of survivor entries across Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. For leverage, San Francisco 49ers wins 77.4% of the time but is picked by only 6.7% of entries.
Board data as of 2026-09-11 04:00 PM PDT. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Safest picks
- Seattle Seahawks — 85.9% win, vs Arizona Cardinals -13.5
- Kansas City Chiefs — 78.7% win, vs New York Jets -9.5
- San Francisco 49ers — 77.4% win, vs Las Vegas Raiders -8.5
- Los Angeles Rams — 75% win, @ Washington Commanders -5.5
- Detroit Lions — 70.5% win, @ Miami Dolphins -6.5
Most picked by the public
- Kansas City Chiefs — 22.2% of entries
- Seattle Seahawks — 21.2% of entries
- Detroit Lions — 13.1% of entries
Contrarian value
- San Francisco 49ers — 77.4% win, only 6.7% picked
- Los Angeles Rams — 75% win, only 3.1% picked
- Philadelphia Eagles — 67.5% win, only 1.8% picked
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | vs Arizona Cardinals | -13.5 | — | 85.9% | 21.2% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | vs New York Jets | -9.5 | 78.7% | 80.1% | 22.2% |
| San Francisco 49ers | vs Las Vegas Raiders | -8.5 | — | 77.4% | 6.7% |
| Los Angeles Rams | @ Washington Commanders | -5.5 | — | 75% | 3.1% |
| Detroit Lions | @ Miami Dolphins | -6.5 | 70.5% | 74.9% | 13.1% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | vs New York Giants | -5.5 | 67.5% | 63.8% | 1.8% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | @ Atlanta Falcons | -5.5 | 66.9% | 75.3% | 6.3% |
| Baltimore Ravens | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | -4.5 | 64.5% | 69% | 3.2% |
| New Orleans Saints | vs Cleveland Browns | -3.5 | 63.7% | 60.1% | 10.9% |
| Chicago Bears | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -3.5 | 63.1% | 62.3% | 0.2% |
| Buffalo Bills | @ Minnesota Vikings | -3 | 60.4% | 61.8% | 1.8% |
| Denver Broncos | @ Carolina Panthers | -3 | 59.3% | 59.6% | 5.2% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | vs Houston Texans | -2.5 | 55.1% | 53.5% | 1.1% |
| Dallas Cowboys | @ Indianapolis Colts | -1.5 | 53.2% | 57.2% | 0.9% |
| New England Patriots | vs Green Bay Packers | -1.5 | — | 51.6% | 0.2% |
| Green Bay Packers | @ New England Patriots | +1.5 | — | 48.4% | 0.1% |
| Indianapolis Colts | vs Dallas Cowboys | +1.5 | 46.8% | 42.8% | 0.2% |
| Houston Texans | @ Los Angeles Chargers | +2.5 | 44.9% | 46.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Panthers | vs Denver Broncos | +3 | 40.7% | 40.4% | 0.1% |
| Minnesota Vikings | vs Buffalo Bills | +3 | 39.6% | 38.2% | 0.1% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | @ Chicago Bears | +3.5 | 36.9% | 37.7% | 0.1% |
| Cleveland Browns | @ New Orleans Saints | +3.5 | 36.3% | 39.9% | 0.3% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | @ Baltimore Ravens | +4.5 | 35.5% | 31% | 0.3% |
| Atlanta Falcons | vs Cincinnati Bengals | +5.5 | 33.1% | 24.7% | 0.3% |
| New York Giants | @ Philadelphia Eagles | +5.5 | 32.5% | 36.2% | 0.1% |
| Miami Dolphins | vs Detroit Lions | +6.5 | 29.5% | 25.1% | 0.5% |
| Washington Commanders | vs Los Angeles Rams | +5.5 | — | 25% | 0% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | @ San Francisco 49ers | +8.5 | — | 22.6% | 0% |
| New York Jets | @ Kansas City Chiefs | +9.5 | 21.3% | 19.9% | 0% |
| Arizona Cardinals | @ Seattle Seahawks | +13.5 | — | 14.1% | 0% |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.