Week 8 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Win odds, public pick percentages, and spreads for every team playing in Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season, from the free Survivor Board grid.
The board makes New England Patriots the strongest Week 8 survivor pick at 84.1% to win (on the road against the Miami Dolphins, -7). Dallas Cowboys is next at 80.8%. The public's favorite is Dallas Cowboys, carrying 49.9% of survivor entries across Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. For leverage, Los Angeles Rams wins 70.4% of the time but is picked by only 0.9% of entries.
Board data as of 2026-09-11 04:00 PM PDT. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Safest picks
- New England Patriots — 84.1% win, @ Miami Dolphins -7
- Dallas Cowboys — 80.8% win, vs Arizona Cardinals -10.5
- Green Bay Packers — 74.4% win, vs Carolina Panthers -7
- Cincinnati Bengals — 71.4% win, vs Tennessee Titans -6.5
- Los Angeles Rams — 70.4% win, vs Los Angeles Chargers -4.5
Most picked by the public
- Dallas Cowboys — 49.9% of entries
- Cincinnati Bengals — 11% of entries
- New England Patriots — 10.5% of entries
Contrarian value
- Los Angeles Rams — 70.4% win, only 0.9% picked
- Pittsburgh Steelers — 69.1% win, only 5.7% picked
- Seattle Seahawks — 66.8% win, only 2% picked
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | @ Miami Dolphins | -7 | — | 84.1% | 10.5% |
| Dallas Cowboys | vs Arizona Cardinals | -10.5 | 80.8% | 84.5% | 49.9% |
| Green Bay Packers | vs Carolina Panthers | -7 | 74.4% | 77.6% | 7.9% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | vs Tennessee Titans | -6.5 | 71.4% | 75.5% | 11% |
| Los Angeles Rams | vs Los Angeles Chargers | -4.5 | — | 70.4% | 0.9% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | vs Cleveland Browns | -6 | 69.1% | 68.5% | 5.7% |
| Seattle Seahawks | vs Chicago Bears | -4.5 | — | 66.8% | 2% |
| Detroit Lions | vs Minnesota Vikings | -4.5 | 66.4% | 68.6% | 1% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | vs Indianapolis Colts | -4.5 | 66.4% | 66.1% | 0.6% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | vs Atlanta Falcons | -4.5 | 65.7% | 68.3% | 2.4% |
| Buffalo Bills | vs Baltimore Ravens | -2.5 | 55.1% | 53.5% | 0.8% |
| Denver Broncos | vs Kansas City Chiefs | -1.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 0.1% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | @ Washington Commanders | -1.5 | 53.2% | 57.2% | 1.7% |
| New York Jets | vs Las Vegas Raiders | -1.5 | 52.6% | 52.1% | 0.7% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | @ New York Jets | +1.5 | 47.4% | 47.9% | 2.5% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | @ Denver Broncos | +1.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 0.1% |
| Washington Commanders | vs Philadelphia Eagles | +1.5 | 46.8% | 42.8% | 0.1% |
| Baltimore Ravens | @ Buffalo Bills | +2.5 | 44.9% | 46.5% | 0.1% |
| Atlanta Falcons | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +4.5 | 34.3% | 31.7% | 0.2% |
| Minnesota Vikings | @ Detroit Lions | +4.5 | 33.6% | 31.4% | 0.1% |
| Indianapolis Colts | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | +4.5 | 33.6% | 33.9% | 0.6% |
| Chicago Bears | @ Seattle Seahawks | +4.5 | — | 33.2% | 0.1% |
| Cleveland Browns | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | +6 | 30.9% | 31.5% | 0.1% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | @ Los Angeles Rams | +4.5 | — | 29.6% | 0% |
| Tennessee Titans | @ Cincinnati Bengals | +6.5 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Panthers | @ Green Bay Packers | +7 | 25.6% | 22.4% | 0.9% |
| Arizona Cardinals | @ Dallas Cowboys | +10.5 | 19.2% | 15.5% | 0.5% |
| Miami Dolphins | vs New England Patriots | +7 | — | 15.9% | 0.1% |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.