Week 10 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Win odds, public pick percentages, and spreads for every team playing in Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season, from the free Survivor Board grid.
The board makes Los Angeles Rams the strongest Week 10 survivor pick at 81.5% to win (on the road against the Arizona Cardinals, -10.5). Seattle Seahawks is next at 81.1%. The public's favorite is Buffalo Bills, carrying 31.1% of survivor entries across Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. For leverage, Los Angeles Rams wins 81.5% of the time but is picked by only 6.8% of entries.
Board data as of 2026-09-11 04:00 PM PDT. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Safest picks
- Los Angeles Rams — 81.5% win, @ Arizona Cardinals -10.5
- Seattle Seahawks — 81.1% win, @ Las Vegas Raiders -7
- Buffalo Bills — 74.4% win, @ New York Jets -7
- Indianapolis Colts — 72.2% win, vs Miami Dolphins -6.5
- Green Bay Packers — 67.5% win, vs Minnesota Vikings -4.5
Most picked by the public
- Buffalo Bills — 31.1% of entries
- Indianapolis Colts — 20.7% of entries
- Houston Texans — 10.8% of entries
Contrarian value
- Los Angeles Rams — 81.5% win, only 6.8% picked
- Green Bay Packers — 67.5% win, only 0.8% picked
- Kansas City Chiefs — 66.9% win, only 1.9% picked
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | @ Arizona Cardinals | -10.5 | — | 81.5% | 6.8% |
| Seattle Seahawks | @ Las Vegas Raiders | -7 | — | 81.1% | 7.9% |
| Buffalo Bills | @ New York Jets | -7 | 74.4% | 79.3% | 31.1% |
| Indianapolis Colts | vs Miami Dolphins | -6.5 | 72.2% | 75.9% | 20.7% |
| Green Bay Packers | vs Minnesota Vikings | -4.5 | 67.5% | 69.1% | 0.8% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | @ Atlanta Falcons | -4.5 | 66.9% | 69.4% | 1.9% |
| Houston Texans | @ Cleveland Browns | -4.5 | 64.5% | 68.3% | 10.8% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | -3.5 | 63.7% | 62.6% | 1.2% |
| Baltimore Ravens | vs Los Angeles Chargers | -3.5 | 61.6% | 58% | 0.1% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | @ Tennessee Titans | -2.5 | 55.1% | 57.9% | 2.9% |
| New York Giants | vs Washington Commanders | -1.5 | 52.6% | 53.3% | 1.8% |
| New England Patriots | @ Detroit Lions | +1.5 | 52% | 50% | 0.4% |
| New Orleans Saints | vs Carolina Panthers | -1.5 | 51.7% | 51.6% | 1.7% |
| Dallas Cowboys | vs San Francisco 49ers | -1.5 | — | 51.6% | 0.1% |
| San Francisco 49ers | @ Dallas Cowboys | +1.5 | — | 48.4% | 0.2% |
| Carolina Panthers | @ New Orleans Saints | +1.5 | 48.3% | 48.4% | 0.5% |
| Detroit Lions | vs New England Patriots | -1.5 | 48% | 50% | 1.5% |
| Washington Commanders | @ New York Giants | +1.5 | 47.4% | 46.7% | 8% |
| Tennessee Titans | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | +2.5 | 44.9% | 42.1% | 0.1% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | @ Baltimore Ravens | +3.5 | 38.4% | 42% | 0.3% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | @ Cincinnati Bengals | +3.5 | 36.3% | 37.4% | 0.1% |
| Cleveland Browns | vs Houston Texans | +4.5 | 35.5% | 31.7% | 0.1% |
| Atlanta Falcons | vs Kansas City Chiefs | +4.5 | 33.1% | 30.6% | 0% |
| Minnesota Vikings | @ Green Bay Packers | +4.5 | 32.5% | 30.9% | 0.1% |
| Miami Dolphins | @ Indianapolis Colts | +6.5 | 27.8% | 24.1% | 0.5% |
| New York Jets | vs Buffalo Bills | +7 | 25.6% | 20.7% | 0% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | vs Seattle Seahawks | +7 | — | 18.9% | 0% |
| Arizona Cardinals | vs Los Angeles Rams | +10.5 | — | 18.5% | 0% |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.