Week 7 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Win odds, public pick percentages, and spreads for every team playing in Week 7 of the 2026 NFL season, from the free Survivor Board grid.
The board makes Denver Broncos the strongest Week 7 survivor pick at 75.7% to win (on the road against the Arizona Cardinals, -7.5). Los Angeles Rams is next at 74.4%. The public agrees: Denver Broncos carries 38.8% of survivor entries across Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. For leverage, San Francisco 49ers wins 65.7% of the time but is picked by only 7.1% of entries.
Board data as of 2026-09-11 04:00 PM PDT. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Safest picks
- Denver Broncos — 75.7% win, @ Arizona Cardinals -7.5
- Los Angeles Rams — 74.4% win, @ Las Vegas Raiders -7.5
- Houston Texans — 67.5% win, vs New York Giants -5.5
- San Francisco 49ers — 65.7% win, @ Atlanta Falcons -4.5
- Baltimore Ravens — 61.6% win, vs Cincinnati Bengals -3.5
Most picked by the public
- Denver Broncos — 38.8% of entries
- Los Angeles Rams — 14.5% of entries
- Houston Texans — 10.9% of entries
Contrarian value
- San Francisco 49ers — 65.7% win, only 7.1% picked
- Baltimore Ravens — 61.6% win, only 2.5% picked
- Philadelphia Eagles — 59.3% win, only 0.8% picked
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | @ Arizona Cardinals | -7.5 | 75.7% | 75.8% | 38.8% |
| Los Angeles Rams | @ Las Vegas Raiders | -7.5 | 74.4% | 73.5% | 14.5% |
| Houston Texans | vs New York Giants | -5.5 | 67.5% | 63.8% | 10.9% |
| San Francisco 49ers | @ Atlanta Falcons | -4.5 | 65.7% | 70.8% | 7.1% |
| Baltimore Ravens | vs Cincinnati Bengals | -3.5 | 61.6% | 61.7% | 2.5% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | vs Dallas Cowboys | -3 | 59.3% | 54% | 0.8% |
| Seattle Seahawks | vs Kansas City Chiefs | -3 | — | 57.1% | 0.8% |
| Minnesota Vikings | vs Indianapolis Colts | -2.5 | 56.3% | 54% | 1.1% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | @ New Orleans Saints | -2.5 | 56.3% | 62.7% | 6.2% |
| New York Jets | vs Miami Dolphins | -2.5 | 56.3% | 53% | 3% |
| Detroit Lions | vs Green Bay Packers | -2.5 | 55.1% | 52.5% | 0.6% |
| Tennessee Titans | vs Cleveland Browns | -2.5 | 55.1% | 53.5% | 4.4% |
| Chicago Bears | vs New England Patriots | -1.5 | 53.2% | 53.6% | 1.9% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | @ Carolina Panthers | -1.5 | 53.2% | 57.2% | 0.8% |
| New England Patriots | @ Chicago Bears | +1.5 | 46.8% | 46.4% | 1.4% |
| Carolina Panthers | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1.5 | 46.8% | 42.8% | 0.2% |
| Green Bay Packers | @ Detroit Lions | +2.5 | 44.9% | 47.5% | 0.1% |
| Cleveland Browns | @ Tennessee Titans | +2.5 | 44.9% | 46.5% | 0.7% |
| Indianapolis Colts | @ Minnesota Vikings | +2.5 | 43.7% | 46% | 0.3% |
| New Orleans Saints | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | +2.5 | 43.7% | 37.3% | 0.5% |
| Miami Dolphins | @ New York Jets | +2.5 | 43.7% | 47% | 1.4% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | @ Seattle Seahawks | +3 | — | 42.9% | 0.1% |
| Dallas Cowboys | @ Philadelphia Eagles | +3 | 40.7% | 46% | 0.6% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | @ Baltimore Ravens | +3.5 | 38.4% | 38.3% | 0.1% |
| Atlanta Falcons | vs San Francisco 49ers | +4.5 | 34.3% | 29.2% | 0% |
| New York Giants | @ Houston Texans | +5.5 | 32.5% | 36.2% | 0.1% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | vs Los Angeles Rams | +7.5 | 25.6% | 26.5% | 0.1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | vs Denver Broncos | +7.5 | 24.3% | 24.2% | 0% |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.