Week 6 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Win odds, public pick percentages, and spreads for every team playing in Week 6 of the 2026 NFL season, from the free Survivor Board grid.
The board makes Los Angeles Rams the strongest Week 6 survivor pick at 84.7% to win (at home against the Arizona Cardinals, -13.5). New England Patriots is next at 78.2%. The public agrees: Los Angeles Rams carries 26.1% of survivor entries across Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. For leverage, San Francisco 49ers wins 68.1% of the time but is picked by only 2.9% of entries.
Board data as of 2026-09-11 04:00 PM PDT. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Safest picks
- Los Angeles Rams — 84.7% win, vs Arizona Cardinals -13.5
- New England Patriots — 78.2% win, vs New York Jets -9.5
- Philadelphia Eagles — 70.5% win, vs Carolina Panthers -6.5
- Buffalo Bills — 70% win, @ Las Vegas Raiders -6.5
- Baltimore Ravens — 68.5% win, @ Cleveland Browns -6.5
Most picked by the public
- Los Angeles Rams — 26.1% of entries
- Baltimore Ravens — 18.6% of entries
- New England Patriots — 16.3% of entries
Contrarian value
- San Francisco 49ers — 68.1% win, only 2.9% picked
- Indianapolis Colts — 63.7% win, only 4.5% picked
- Green Bay Packers — 60.4% win, only 0.2% picked
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | vs Arizona Cardinals | -13.5 | 84.7% | 86% | 26.1% |
| New England Patriots | vs New York Jets | -9.5 | 78.2% | 81.4% | 16.3% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | vs Carolina Panthers | -6.5 | 70.5% | 75.1% | 10.9% |
| Buffalo Bills | @ Las Vegas Raiders | -6.5 | 70% | 74.7% | 9.4% |
| Baltimore Ravens | @ Cleveland Browns | -6.5 | 68.5% | 75.2% | 18.6% |
| San Francisco 49ers | vs Washington Commanders | -5.5 | 68.1% | 60.4% | 2.9% |
| Indianapolis Colts | vs Tennessee Titans | -3.5 | 63.7% | 62.6% | 4.5% |
| Green Bay Packers | vs Dallas Cowboys | -3 | 60.4% | 59.2% | 0.2% |
| Chicago Bears | @ Atlanta Falcons | -3 | 58.3% | 59.1% | 2% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | vs Los Angeles Chargers | -2.5 | 56.3% | 53% | 0.1% |
| New York Giants | vs New Orleans Saints | -2.5 | 56.3% | 54% | 2.2% |
| Seattle Seahawks | @ Denver Broncos | -1.5 | 54.3% | 58.9% | 0.6% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | -1.5 | 53.2% | 51.2% | 0.2% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | vs Houston Texans | -1.5 | 50.4% | 51.1% | 0.8% |
| Houston Texans | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | +1.5 | 49.6% | 48.9% | 2.2% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1.5 | 46.8% | 48.8% | 0.1% |
| Denver Broncos | vs Seattle Seahawks | +1.5 | 45.7% | 41.1% | 1.9% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | @ Kansas City Chiefs | +2.5 | 43.7% | 47% | 0.1% |
| New Orleans Saints | @ New York Giants | +2.5 | 43.7% | 46% | 0.2% |
| Atlanta Falcons | vs Chicago Bears | +3 | 41.7% | 40.9% | 0.5% |
| Dallas Cowboys | @ Green Bay Packers | +3 | 39.6% | 40.8% | 0.1% |
| Tennessee Titans | @ Indianapolis Colts | +3.5 | 36.3% | 37.4% | 0.1% |
| Washington Commanders | @ San Francisco 49ers | +5.5 | 31.9% | 39.6% | 0.1% |
| Cleveland Browns | vs Baltimore Ravens | +6.5 | 31.5% | 24.8% | 0.1% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | vs Buffalo Bills | +6.5 | 30% | 25.3% | 0% |
| Carolina Panthers | @ Philadelphia Eagles | +6.5 | 29.5% | 24.9% | 0.1% |
| New York Jets | @ New England Patriots | +9.5 | 21.8% | 18.6% | 0% |
| Arizona Cardinals | @ Los Angeles Rams | +13.5 | 15.3% | 14% | 0% |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.