Week 17 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Win odds, public pick percentages, and spreads for every team playing in Week 17 of the 2026 NFL season, from the free Survivor Board grid.
The board makes Seattle Seahawks the strongest Week 17 survivor pick at 76.8% to win (on the road against the Carolina Panthers, -5.5). Buffalo Bills is next at 76%. The public's favorite is Minnesota Vikings, carrying 21.8% of survivor entries across Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. For leverage, Los Angeles Rams wins 75.2% of the time but is picked by only 7.4% of entries.
Board data as of 2026-09-11 04:00 PM PDT. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Safest picks
- Seattle Seahawks — 76.8% win, @ Carolina Panthers -5.5
- Buffalo Bills — 76% win, @ Miami Dolphins -7.5
- Los Angeles Rams — 75.2% win, @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.5
- Dallas Cowboys — 65.7% win, vs New York Giants -4.5
- Minnesota Vikings — 63.1% win, @ New York Jets -3.5
Most picked by the public
- Minnesota Vikings — 21.8% of entries
- Buffalo Bills — 17.9% of entries
- Indianapolis Colts — 10.3% of entries
Contrarian value
- Los Angeles Rams — 75.2% win, only 7.4% picked
- Dallas Cowboys — 65.7% win, only 4.9% picked
- Jacksonville Jaguars — 62.2% win, only 6.9% picked
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | @ Carolina Panthers | -5.5 | — | 76.8% | 9.3% |
| Buffalo Bills | @ Miami Dolphins | -7.5 | 76% | 77.2% | 17.9% |
| Los Angeles Rams | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -4.5 | — | 75.2% | 7.4% |
| Dallas Cowboys | vs New York Giants | -4.5 | 65.7% | 70% | 4.9% |
| Minnesota Vikings | @ New York Jets | -3.5 | 63.1% | 66.3% | 21.8% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | vs Washington Commanders | -3.5 | 62.2% | 63.7% | 6.9% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | vs Baltimore Ravens | -2.5 | 55.1% | 55.5% | 1.1% |
| Indianapolis Colts | @ Cleveland Browns | -2.5 | 55.1% | 58.9% | 10.3% |
| Green Bay Packers | vs Houston Texans | -2.5 | 55.1% | 52.7% | 0.4% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | @ Arizona Cardinals | -1.5 | 54.3% | 59.4% | 2.7% |
| New England Patriots | vs Denver Broncos | -2.5 | — | 53.9% | 0.2% |
| San Francisco 49ers | vs Philadelphia Eagles | -1.5 | — | 53.4% | 0.1% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | vs Kansas City Chiefs | -1.5 | 53.2% | 54.1% | 0.4% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | @ Tennessee Titans | -1.5 | 53.2% | 58.9% | 5.5% |
| Atlanta Falcons | vs New Orleans Saints | -1.5 | 52.6% | 53.8% | 3.2% |
| Chicago Bears | vs Detroit Lions | -1.5 | 52.6% | 53.8% | 0.1% |
| New Orleans Saints | @ Atlanta Falcons | +1.5 | 47.4% | 46.2% | 0.1% |
| Detroit Lions | @ Chicago Bears | +1.5 | 47.4% | 46.2% | 0.1% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | @ Los Angeles Chargers | +1.5 | 46.8% | 45.9% | 0.2% |
| Tennessee Titans | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | +1.5 | 46.8% | 41.1% | 0.1% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | @ San Francisco 49ers | +1.5 | — | 46.6% | 0.2% |
| Denver Broncos | @ New England Patriots | +2.5 | — | 46.1% | 3.6% |
| Arizona Cardinals | vs Las Vegas Raiders | +1.5 | 45.7% | 40.6% | 1.7% |
| Baltimore Ravens | @ Cincinnati Bengals | +2.5 | 44.9% | 44.5% | 1.4% |
| Cleveland Browns | vs Indianapolis Colts | +2.5 | 44.9% | 41.1% | 0.1% |
| Houston Texans | @ Green Bay Packers | +2.5 | 44.9% | 47.3% | 0.1% |
| Washington Commanders | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | +3.5 | 37.8% | 36.3% | 0.1% |
| New York Jets | vs Minnesota Vikings | +3.5 | 36.9% | 33.7% | 0.1% |
| New York Giants | @ Dallas Cowboys | +4.5 | 34.3% | 30% | 0.1% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | vs Los Angeles Rams | +4.5 | — | 24.8% | 0.1% |
| Miami Dolphins | vs Buffalo Bills | +7.5 | 24% | 22.8% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Panthers | vs Seattle Seahawks | +5.5 | — | 23.2% | 0.1% |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.