Week 15 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Win odds, public pick percentages, and spreads for every team playing in Week 15 of the 2026 NFL season, from the free Survivor Board grid.
The board makes Green Bay Packers the strongest Week 15 survivor pick at 83.2% to win (at home against the Miami Dolphins, -10.5). Los Angeles Rams is next at 68%. The public agrees: Green Bay Packers carries 37.2% of survivor entries across Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. For leverage, Los Angeles Rams wins 68% of the time but is picked by only 2.1% of entries.
Board data as of 2026-09-11 04:00 PM PDT. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Safest picks
- Green Bay Packers — 83.2% win, vs Miami Dolphins -10.5
- Los Angeles Rams — 68% win, vs Dallas Cowboys -6
- New York Giants — 65.7% win, vs Cleveland Browns -4.5
- Denver Broncos — 64.5% win, @ Las Vegas Raiders -4.5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — 63.1% win, vs New Orleans Saints -3.5
Most picked by the public
- Green Bay Packers — 37.2% of entries
- New York Giants — 14.6% of entries
- Indianapolis Colts — 12.2% of entries
Contrarian value
- Los Angeles Rams — 68% win, only 2.1% picked
- Denver Broncos — 64.5% win, only 2.5% picked
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — 63.1% win, only 6.6% picked
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | vs Miami Dolphins | -10.5 | 83.2% | 85.6% | 37.2% |
| Los Angeles Rams | vs Dallas Cowboys | -6 | — | 68% | 2.1% |
| New York Giants | vs Cleveland Browns | -4.5 | 65.7% | 68.3% | 14.6% |
| Denver Broncos | @ Las Vegas Raiders | -4.5 | 64.5% | 68.3% | 2.5% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | vs New Orleans Saints | -3.5 | 63.1% | 62.3% | 6.6% |
| Buffalo Bills | vs Chicago Bears | -3.5 | 62.2% | 61.9% | 3.2% |
| Washington Commanders | vs Atlanta Falcons | -3.5 | 62.2% | 61.9% | 3.8% |
| Houston Texans | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | -3 | 58.3% | 57.2% | 0.8% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | @ Carolina Panthers | -2.5 | 57.2% | 58.1% | 2.3% |
| Baltimore Ravens | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | -2.5 | 57.2% | 57.1% | 1.7% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | vs San Francisco 49ers | -2.5 | — | 53.4% | 3.3% |
| Indianapolis Colts | @ Tennessee Titans | -1.5 | 53.2% | 57.2% | 12.2% |
| Detroit Lions | @ Minnesota Vikings | -1.5 | 52.6% | 56.9% | 0.3% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | vs Seattle Seahawks | -1.5 | — | 51.6% | 0.3% |
| New England Patriots | @ Kansas City Chiefs | +2.5 | — | 51.5% | 0.2% |
| Arizona Cardinals | vs New York Jets | PK | 50% | 49.1% | 2.5% |
| New York Jets | @ Arizona Cardinals | PK | 50% | 50.9% | 0.7% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | vs New England Patriots | -2.5 | — | 48.5% | 0.3% |
| Seattle Seahawks | @ Philadelphia Eagles | +1.5 | — | 48.4% | 1.8% |
| Minnesota Vikings | vs Detroit Lions | +1.5 | 47.4% | 43.1% | 0.1% |
| Tennessee Titans | vs Indianapolis Colts | +1.5 | 46.8% | 42.8% | 0.2% |
| San Francisco 49ers | @ Los Angeles Chargers | +2.5 | — | 46.6% | 0.9% |
| Carolina Panthers | vs Cincinnati Bengals | +2.5 | 42.8% | 41.9% | 0.2% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | vs Baltimore Ravens | +2.5 | 42.8% | 42.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | @ Houston Texans | +3 | 41.7% | 42.8% | 0.6% |
| Chicago Bears | @ Buffalo Bills | +3.5 | 37.8% | 38.1% | 0.1% |
| Atlanta Falcons | @ Washington Commanders | +3.5 | 37.8% | 38.1% | 0.7% |
| New Orleans Saints | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +3.5 | 36.9% | 37.7% | 0.1% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | vs Denver Broncos | +4.5 | 35.5% | 31.7% | 0.1% |
| Cleveland Browns | @ New York Giants | +4.5 | 34.3% | 31.7% | 0.1% |
| Dallas Cowboys | @ Los Angeles Rams | +6 | — | 32% | 0.1% |
| Miami Dolphins | @ Green Bay Packers | +10.5 | 16.8% | 14.4% | 0% |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.