Week 14 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Win odds, public pick percentages, and spreads for every team playing in Week 14 of the 2026 NFL season, from the free Survivor Board grid.
The board makes Detroit Lions the strongest Week 14 survivor pick at 75.1% to win (at home against the Tennessee Titans, -7.5). New England Patriots is next at 71.7%. The public's favorite is Chicago Bears, carrying 20.7% of survivor entries across Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. For leverage, Baltimore Ravens wins 69.1% of the time but is picked by only 4% of entries.
Board data as of 2026-09-11 04:00 PM PDT. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Safest picks
- Detroit Lions — 75.1% win, vs Tennessee Titans -7.5
- New England Patriots — 71.7% win, vs Minnesota Vikings -4.5
- Seattle Seahawks — 71.2% win, vs New York Giants -7.5
- Baltimore Ravens — 69.1% win, vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6
- Chicago Bears — 68.5% win, @ Miami Dolphins -5.5
Most picked by the public
- Chicago Bears — 20.7% of entries
- Atlanta Falcons — 13.4% of entries
- Seattle Seahawks — 12.4% of entries
Contrarian value
- Baltimore Ravens — 69.1% win, only 4% picked
- Philadelphia Eagles — 68.5% win, only 2.9% picked
- Los Angeles Chargers — 66.9% win, only 5% picked
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | vs Tennessee Titans | -7.5 | 75.1% | 73% | 11.7% |
| New England Patriots | vs Minnesota Vikings | -4.5 | — | 71.7% | 11.5% |
| Seattle Seahawks | vs New York Giants | -7.5 | — | 71.2% | 12.4% |
| Baltimore Ravens | vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -6 | 69.1% | 66% | 4% |
| Chicago Bears | @ Miami Dolphins | -5.5 | 68.5% | 71% | 20.7% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | vs Indianapolis Colts | -5.5 | 68.5% | 64.3% | 2.9% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | @ Las Vegas Raiders | -5.5 | 66.9% | 70.3% | 5% |
| Denver Broncos | @ New York Jets | -5.5 | 66.9% | 70.3% | 6.5% |
| Los Angeles Rams | @ San Francisco 49ers | -1.5 | — | 62.1% | 1.2% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | -3 | 59.3% | 55% | 0.5% |
| Carolina Panthers | vs New Orleans Saints | -2.5 | 56.3% | 53% | 2.1% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | vs Kansas City Chiefs | -1.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 0.1% |
| Green Bay Packers | vs Buffalo Bills | -1.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 0.1% |
| Cleveland Browns | vs Atlanta Falcons | -1.5 | 52.6% | 52.1% | 0.6% |
| Houston Texans | @ Washington Commanders | -1.5 | 52.6% | 56.9% | 3.2% |
| Atlanta Falcons | @ Cleveland Browns | +1.5 | 47.4% | 47.9% | 13.4% |
| Washington Commanders | vs Houston Texans | +1.5 | 47.4% | 43.1% | 0.2% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | @ Cincinnati Bengals | +1.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 0.1% |
| Buffalo Bills | @ Green Bay Packers | +1.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 0.7% |
| New Orleans Saints | @ Carolina Panthers | +2.5 | 43.7% | 47% | 0.6% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | @ Jacksonville Jaguars | +3 | 40.7% | 45% | 0.1% |
| San Francisco 49ers | vs Los Angeles Rams | +1.5 | — | 37.9% | 0% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | vs Los Angeles Chargers | +5.5 | 33.1% | 29.7% | 0.1% |
| New York Jets | vs Denver Broncos | +5.5 | 33.1% | 29.7% | 0.1% |
| Miami Dolphins | vs Chicago Bears | +5.5 | 31.5% | 29% | 0.2% |
| Indianapolis Colts | @ Philadelphia Eagles | +5.5 | 31.5% | 35.7% | 0% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | @ Baltimore Ravens | +6 | 30.9% | 34% | 0.1% |
| New York Giants | @ Seattle Seahawks | +7.5 | — | 28.8% | 0% |
| Minnesota Vikings | @ New England Patriots | +4.5 | — | 28.3% | 0.5% |
| Tennessee Titans | @ Detroit Lions | +7.5 | 24.9% | 27% | 0% |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.