Week 13 NFL Survivor Picks — 2026
Win odds, public pick percentages, and spreads for every team playing in Week 13 of the 2026 NFL season, from the free Survivor Board grid.
The board makes Denver Broncos the strongest Week 13 survivor pick at 79.1% to win (at home against the Miami Dolphins, -9.5). Philadelphia Eagles is next at 76.6%. The public's favorite is Philadelphia Eagles, carrying 29.3% of survivor entries across Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. For leverage, Seattle Seahawks wins 66.8% of the time but is picked by only 1.9% of entries.
Board data as of 2026-09-11 04:00 PM PDT. Updated automatically from live sportsbook lines.
Safest picks
- Denver Broncos — 79.1% win, vs Miami Dolphins -9.5
- Philadelphia Eagles — 76.6% win, @ Arizona Cardinals -8.5
- Seattle Seahawks — 66.8% win, vs Dallas Cowboys -4.5
- Green Bay Packers — 66.4% win, @ New Orleans Saints -4.5
- Cincinnati Bengals — 65.7% win, @ Cleveland Browns -4.5
Most picked by the public
- Philadelphia Eagles — 29.3% of entries
- Denver Broncos — 21.5% of entries
- San Francisco 49ers — 15.5% of entries
Contrarian value
- Seattle Seahawks — 66.8% win, only 1.9% picked
- Green Bay Packers — 66.4% win, only 6.8% picked
- Cincinnati Bengals — 65.7% win, only 5.2% picked
| Team | Matchup | Spread | Win % (Vegas) | Win % (Model) | Pick % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | vs Miami Dolphins | -9.5 | 79.1% | 80.3% | 21.5% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | @ Arizona Cardinals | -8.5 | 76.6% | 77.4% | 29.3% |
| Seattle Seahawks | vs Dallas Cowboys | -4.5 | — | 66.8% | 1.9% |
| Green Bay Packers | @ New Orleans Saints | -4.5 | 66.4% | 69.2% | 6.8% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | @ Cleveland Browns | -4.5 | 65.7% | 68.8% | 5.2% |
| Minnesota Vikings | vs Carolina Panthers | -3.5 | 63.1% | 62.3% | 3.3% |
| Los Angeles Rams | vs Kansas City Chiefs | -3.5 | — | 63% | 1.5% |
| Detroit Lions | @ Atlanta Falcons | -3.5 | 62.2% | 65.9% | 4.4% |
| San Francisco 49ers | @ New York Giants | -3 | — | 61.8% | 15.5% |
| Chicago Bears | vs Jacksonville Jaguars | -3 | 58.3% | 57.1% | 1% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -2.5 | 55.1% | 59.1% | 1.5% |
| Washington Commanders | @ Tennessee Titans | -1.5 | 53.2% | 57.2% | 2.6% |
| Houston Texans | @ Pittsburgh Steelers | -1.5 | 52.6% | 56.9% | 1.4% |
| New England Patriots | vs Buffalo Bills | -1.5 | — | 51.6% | 0.1% |
| Buffalo Bills | @ New England Patriots | +1.5 | — | 48.4% | 0.2% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | vs Houston Texans | +1.5 | 47.4% | 43.1% | 0.6% |
| Tennessee Titans | vs Washington Commanders | +1.5 | 46.8% | 42.8% | 0.1% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | vs Los Angeles Chargers | +2.5 | 44.9% | 40.9% | 0.3% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | @ Chicago Bears | +3 | 41.7% | 42.9% | 0.1% |
| New York Giants | vs San Francisco 49ers | +3 | — | 38.2% | 0.4% |
| Atlanta Falcons | vs Detroit Lions | +3.5 | 37.8% | 34.1% | 0.1% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | @ Los Angeles Rams | +3.5 | — | 37% | 0.9% |
| Carolina Panthers | @ Minnesota Vikings | +3.5 | 36.9% | 37.7% | 0.1% |
| Cleveland Browns | vs Cincinnati Bengals | +4.5 | 34.3% | 31.2% | 0.1% |
| New Orleans Saints | vs Green Bay Packers | +4.5 | 33.6% | 30.8% | 0.1% |
| Dallas Cowboys | @ Seattle Seahawks | +4.5 | — | 33.2% | 0.1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | vs Philadelphia Eagles | +8.5 | 23.4% | 22.6% | 0% |
| Miami Dolphins | @ Denver Broncos | +9.5 | 20.9% | 19.7% | 0% |
Win % (Vegas) is the de-vigged sportsbook consensus. Win % (Model) blends the moneyline with empirical results from every NFL spread since 2010. Pick % averages public survivor pick share reported by Yahoo, ESPN, and USA Football Pools. Use the interactive grid to compare models, or the season planner to optimize full-season paths with rebuy weeks, double-pick weeks, and multiple entries across pools.